Mortgage Rates Reaction After Inflation Report
Underlying bond markets (which drive mortgage rate changes) were rocked Friday by stronger inflation data. The important Consumer Price Index (CPI) was expected to hold steady at the same low levels that have persisted since the middle of 2017. The modest uptick in inflation sent bond yields higher and resulted in most mortgage lenders putting out noticeably higher rates this morning.
Lenders don't like to put out more than one rate sheet per day if they can help it, but if markets move enough, they will "reprice." After the initial trauma, bond markets began a trend of improvement that ultimately resulted in widespread positive reprices for mortgage rates. We didn't quite make it back to Friday’s levels, but we did manage to avoid ending the day at fresh 6-month highs.
In the bigger picture, rates remain under general pressure. There's some hope in the outlook thanks to two decent bounces against rate ceilings in bond markets this week, but we have yet to see that hope materialize in the form of a sustained move lower. It makes sense to remain defensive until that changes.
Courtesy of Rick Lombardo 310.435.7439, Rick.Lombardo@grarate.com, VP of Mortgage Lending at Guaranteed Rate.
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